Simple Payback Analysis Colorado Solar Electric
Mountains near Breckenridge

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What's the Bottom Line?

Solar Panels on the Farm

Is a solar system for me?

Some Rules of Thumb:

Grid-Tie:

If you have state incentive paying half the cost of a PV system, the system does pay for itself in 15-25 years, depending on your electric rates. Financing the system will help make it comparable to an electric bill. Battery backup adds considerable cost to smaller grid-tie systems, but is easily incorporated into larger ones. This will change as more advanced small inverters become available.

One quick formula (sorry):

2.2kW grid-tie system - does it pay?

Assume 4 avg hours sun per day:

4 X 2.2kW = 8.8 kWHr/day

20yr X 365 days X 8.8 = 64,240 kWHr/lifetime

If the system costs $16,000:

$16,000 / 64,240 = 25 cents / kWHr

With a subsidy:

$8,000 / 64,240 = 12.5 cents / kWHr

12.5 cents per kWHr is comparable to grid electricity. Of course there are "real life" factors which complicate this, and subsidies have to come from somewhere.

Load analysis usually will show an even greater payback from improved efficiency, such as compact fluorescent bulbs.

Off-Grid:

If you are one-half mile or more from a power line, a PV system will be cost-effective. If you have a lot of electrical loads, the break-even point may be one or two miles. We are almost 4 miles from the power line and in our case if we had 4-6 people to split the cost, grid power would have been reasonable. We put in an off-grid system for $15,000, vs. probably $80,000+ for grid power. The only load we have a problem with is tractor block heaters which drain the batteries because of the length of time they are on. We use a generator for that, and a heated garage would solve the problem.

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